Table3AverageAbsoluteErrorOfOptimizedANN
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Table 3. Average Absolute Error of Optimized ANN
Forecast 1996 1995 2000 2001
Year 3 0.314 0.301 0.281 0.292
Cold Events   0.418 0.223 0.425 0.294
Year 12 0.557 0.534 0.488 0.549
Cold Events   0.816 0.445 0.419 0.794
Year 24 0.592 0.565 0.533 0.662
Cold Events   0.916 0.393 0.457 0.783
Year 48 0.693 0.650 0.636 0.869
Cold Events   0.994 0.449 0.477 0.397
Average Absolute Errors in the optimized ANN model for 
both the training year (1996) and test years (1995, 2000, 2001).

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Table 3. Average Absolute Error of Optimized ANN
Forecast 1996 1995 2000 2001
Year 3 0.314 0.301 0.281 0.292
Cold Events   0.418 0.223 0.425 0.294
Year 12 0.557 0.534 0.488 0.549
Cold Events   0.816 0.445 0.419 0.794
Year 24 0.592 0.565 0.533 0.662
Cold Events   0.916 0.393 0.457 0.783
Year 48 0.693 0.650 0.636 0.869
Cold Events   0.994 0.449 0.477 0.397
Average Absolute Errors in the optimized ANN model for 
both the training year (1996) and test years (1995, 2000, 2001).
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Table 3. Average Absolute Error of Optimized ANN
Forecast 1996 1995 2000 2001
Year 3 0.314 0.301 0.281 0.292
Cold Events   0.418 0.223 0.425 0.294
Year 12 0.557 0.534 0.488 0.549
Cold Events   0.816 0.445 0.419 0.794
Year 24 0.592 0.565 0.533 0.662
Cold Events   0.916 0.393 0.457 0.783
Year 48 0.693 0.650 0.636 0.869
Cold Events   0.994 0.449 0.477 0.397
Average Absolute Errors in the optimized ANN model for 
both the training year (1996) and test years (1995, 2000, 2001).

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December 22, 2006, at 11:47 AM by 75.16.115.174 -
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