| Table 3. Average Absolute Error of Optimized ANN | |||||
| Forecast | 1996 | 1995 | 2000 | 2001 | |
| Year | 3 | 0.314 | 0.301 | 0.281 | 0.292 |
| Cold Events | 0.418 | 0.223 | 0.425 | 0.294 | |
| Year | 12 | 0.557 | 0.534 | 0.488 | 0.549 |
| Cold Events | 0.816 | 0.445 | 0.419 | 0.794 | |
| Year | 24 | 0.592 | 0.565 | 0.533 | 0.662 |
| Cold Events | 0.916 | 0.393 | 0.457 | 0.783 | |
| Year | 48 | 0.693 | 0.650 | 0.636 | 0.869 |
| Cold Events | 0.994 | 0.449 | 0.477 | 0.397 | |
| Average Absolute Errors in the optimized ANN model for | |||||
| both the training year (1996) and test years (1995, 2000, 2001). | |||||